Ethiopia's new famine: A ticking timebomb
Like crops, the children are weighed (in a
nylon harness seat attached to a scale) and measured (with a tape to
record arm circumference). The most severely malnourished are kept
overnight for up to a month; the rest go home with a week's supply
of Plumpy'nut, a nutritional paste.
The clinic, part of a system that didn't
exist five years ago, will save almost all the children from
starvation. But it can't sate the hunger that has shattered their
families' livelihoods — forcing them to sell skeletal cows for a few
dollars, to eat this year's food reserve and next year's seed, to
keep children out of school, to flee the land itself.
"We give birth to the children," says Urmale
Kasaso, whose listless 4-year-old son's cheeks are puffed up like
apples from malnutrition, "but we can't grow them."
Ethiopia, perennially one of the world's
hungriest nations, now faces what Oxfam, one of dozens of
international aid organizations responding to the crisis, calls "a
toxic cocktail."
Its ingredients: drought that in some places
killed the entire spring crop; global inflation that has doubled the
price of food; armed rebellion in the Somali region that has
disrupted food delivery; and assorted plagues, from insects to
hailstones.
Unlike 1985, when images of a famine that
killed 1 million Ethiopians shocked the West — "We are the world!"
pop stars sang at the globally televised Live Aid concert that
raised more than $250 million — this year aid workers say there
probably will be no mass starvation. An expensive, elaborate social
welfare apparatus, erected largely by the world's rich nations to
avert another 1985, will not permit it.
Those good intentions, however, have helped
produce another problem: A nation that has long seen itself as the
most independent in Africa faces an ever-growing dependence on food
aid from countries who now must deal with increasing food problems
of their own.
At least 14 million Ethiopians — 18% of the
nation — need food aid (much of it from the USA) or cash assistance,
according to government figures and aid agency estimates.
Since 1985 the population has doubled to
almost 80 million, and per-capita farm production has declined.
Meanwhile, the global cost of raising and moving food keeps rising.
It all makes Ethiopia's hunger "a ticking
time bomb," says Peter Walker, a Tufts University famine specialist.
The problem is personified by Urmale, who
like most Ethiopians is known by his first, given name.
With his 4-year-old son Kusse strapped to his
back, he walked three hours to the clinic here run by the government
and supported by Save the Children USA, the humanitarian aid agency.
The boy had shrunk to 20 pounds after the
family's crop failed and market prices outstripped the cash
allowance his family gets from a government anti-famine program. Now
he's gaining almost a pound a day.
But Urmale, 30, says the boy's three older
siblings have a question for which he has no answer: Why did you
bring us into the world if you can't feed us?
"It is sad, but I try to calm them," he
explains.
"I say, 'Let me go and search for some food.'
"
'What else can I do?'
The hunger has spread across two-thirds of
Ethiopia, from the slums of Addis Ababa to the parched countryside
around Konso to the "green hunger" region where the rains came only
after the spring growing season.
The nation's emergency grain reserve is
tapped out, and last month the emergency food ration was reduced by
one-third. The government says 75,000 children are severely
malnourished. Some people are eating cactus, roots and other famine
foods.
Oxfam America staffer Rob O'Neil, who visited
the Somali and Afar regions, reports that in one village people
pounded their animals' food pellets into a porridge for their
children.
Such coping strategies get people through to
the fall harvest, but also deepen their poverty.
Dararo Darimo, a widow who walked for an hour
to carry her grandson to the clinic here, knows that selling her cow
only put off the day of reckoning.
"What else can I do?" she asks. "I don't want
to see my grandchildren die."
Gale Kalalo, a young mother whose breast milk
has dried up, says her family has only a few days' food left. After
that, they'll sell their three goats, one by one. After that,
they'll leave their farm and move to the city.
The hunger will be waiting.
Urban Ethiopians traditionally were untouched
by the hunger that droughts brought to the nation's subsistence
farmers.
Now all Ethiopians face annual food-price
inflation of more than 75%; only Zimbabwe's problem is worse,
according to World Bank economist William Wiseman.
Messret Tesfay, 27, lives with her daughter
in a slum of Addis Ababa, the nation's capital. Her husband has left
her. Her home is a one-room brick mud hut wallpapered with old
newspapers. But she's always been able afford to make injera — the
spongy flatbread on which (and with which) Ethiopians hand-eat their
meals.
Now, however, even this national staple is
denied her.
She says the cost of teff, the iron-rich
cereal from which injera is made, has doubled in the past year to
more than $2 per pound. That's forced her buy small pieces of
cheaper, pre-made injera, or to make injera with a substitute, such
as sorghum or rice.
For a moment, her stoicism cracks. "Too
bitter," she says of the alternatives, making a face. "Too hard."
Even some middle-class residents of Addis
Ababa, the capital, are being forced to put off weddings, carry
lunches to work and eat two meals daily instead of three.
Bassie Terefe, 28, a program officer at a
humanitarian aid agency, doesn't go out to dinner any more with
friends. He knows that sooner or later he'd have to pick up the
check, and he can't afford to.
Instead, he stays home nights, reading
newspapers.
"You isolate yourself," he says. "You feel
ashamed."
Hallelujah Lulie, 24, a freelance journalist,
says food prices have postponed his plan to leave home and get his
own place. At this rate, he says, he'll never become independent,
much less get married.
"I need to learn some life skills," he says.
"Now I'm dependent on my mom."
Detecting malnutrition
Famine detection, prevention and alleviation
have become a major industry here.
The USA alone will give about $460 million
this year just in food aid, part of a $1 billion non-military
foreign assistance package. (Ethiopia is the second-largest
recipient of U.S. aid in sub-Saharan Africa, behind Sudan).
With each famine, the industry grows.
In 1985, when scenes of emaciated babies and
open graves galvanized world opinion, international groups such as
Doctors Without Borders and CARE came to stay.
After the drought of 2003, in which more than
13 million people needed emergency food, the government and foreign
donors created a system designed to make famine history.
Its components include the Productive Safety
Net, a public works program that gives food or cash to more than 7
million poor Ethiopians; the Famine Early Warning System, which uses
local indices — rainfall, household income, the average price of a
cow — to alert government and aid agencies; a national network of
government health extension workers, with two workers per locality,
to detect and treat early signs of malnutrition.
In the 2003 drought, Ayelech Echetu's
18-month-old daughter, Hagira, wasted away. "We didn't understand
malnutrition then," she says.
But this spring, when the drought hit, a
community volunteer visited her home. She examined Ayelech's
4-year-old son, Mattios, and told her to take him to a government
clinic in Tulla.
The boy has gained several pounds on
Plumpy'nut, but his mother has no illusions about the future. She
has sold the family's only goat. The cow is next. Then, she says,
"we pray."
A bottomless dependency
Beneath the system designed to stave off
famine, Ethiopian agriculture is weaker than ever.
Per-capita farm production has fallen by more
than one-third since the famine of 1984-85, largely because the
population has doubled — up to an average of 5.4 children per family
— and the average farm plot has gotten smaller and drier.
The "green revolution" that transformed
agriculture in Asia and Latin America after World War II largely
bypassed Africa.
Most Ethiopians farm as their ancestors did —
with oxen, wooden plows and rainfall. Farmers agree the latter has
become increasingly unreliable.
"In my grandfather's time there was rain. In
my father's time there was rain," says Urmale, the farmer who
carried his son to the Konso clinic.
"But now the rain is decreasing and
decreasing and decreasing. … So there is nothing to eat," he says.
Walker, the Tufts University famine
specialist, says the nation also suffers from a centralized
agricultural policy that does not encourage small private enterprise
or even allow small farmers to own their land.
He says federal officials "issue well-meaning
edicts (such as), 'Increase food production 30% in your district.' "
Local officials may report good results, Walker says, but "the
reports we get is that production is down."
Sisay Tadesse, a spokesman for the
government's Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Agency, denies
that local officials tell higher-ups only what they want to hear and
were slow this year to report the drought's impact: "The situation
on the ground is known by everybody. We are working transparently
and closely with our partners," foreign governments and aid
agencies.
After some hectic scenes at underprovisioned
rural feeding centers this spring, "all the stars are aligned now,
and the situation is stabilized," says Glenn Anders, head of the
U.S. aid mission.
But hunger remains a touchy issue in
Ethiopia. The famine of 1973-74 brought down Emperor Haile Selassie,
and the one of 1984-85 marked the beginning of the end for the
regime that ousted him.
Moreover, the nation's reliance on others for
food undercuts its sense of itself as the only African nation not
colonized in the 19th century, and the only one to conclusively
defeat a European power: the Italians at the Battle of Adwa in 1896.
Being synonymous with famine "hurts the image
of the country," says Sisay, the government spokesman.
That may explain why Ethiopian leaders
sometimes seem to be in denial.
In June, long after drought had created a
food crisis, the country's health minister told reporters: "We don't
need to beat the drum of hunger for Ethiopia every year."
Ethiopia can ill afford to play down its food
needs; other nations' own economic worries have left them less
willing or able to feed the likes of Ethiopia.
"We're past the time when food was abundant
and cheap to transport," says Charles MacCormack, president of Save
the Children USA, who points to spring floods in the Midwest and the
price of oil as signs that U.S. largesse is finite.
This year there's been "push back" from food
donor nations, says Anders, the U.S. aid mission chief: "There's
this fatigue: 'Here's Ethiopia again, looking for food again.' "
He says Ethiopia and other African nations
need agricultural development: hybrid seeds, irrigation systems,
market roads, storage facilities. But foreign aid largely goes to
keep people alive, with food or medicine (notably AIDS drugs). Only
0.7% of U.S. aid to Ethiopia goes to improve farm production.
So Ethiopian farmers will continue to wait
for the rains — and the hunger.
Although some farmers gather in the fields at
night for traditional rain-seeking rituals, Ayelech Echetu is a
Christian who does her praying in church. Why, she is asked, did God
not send the rains this spring?
She smiles and says what Ethiopians have been
saying for a thousand years: "God is very kind. He will give us
rain."